The Nuclear Turning Point: A Blueprint for Deep Cuts and De-Alerting of Nuclear Weapons

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Harold A. Feiveson
Brookings Institution Press, 2010 M12 1 - 402 pages

Despite the ongoing drawdown of strategic forces under the terms of START, both the United States and Russia maintain large arsenals of nuclear weapons poised for immediate launch. Under the most optimistic current scenarios, these arsenals will remain very large and launch-ready for more than a decade. This book, by a distinguished group of coauthors, critically evaluates the current policy of retaining and operating large nuclear arsenals. It reviews U.S. nuclear doctrine and strategy, and the role of nuclear weapons in deterring aggression by former Cold War adversaries and other countries with weapons of mass destruction. The risks of inadvertent as well as deliberate nuclear attack are assessed. The authors argue that small arsenals (low hundreds) on low alert satisfy all justifiable requirements for nuclear weapons. They present a blueprint for making deep cuts in U.S. and Russian deployments, and for lowering their alert level. They explain the implications of shifting to small arsenals for further constraining anti-ballistic missile defenses, strengthening verification, and capping or reducing the nuclear arsenals of China, France, and Britain as well as the threshold nuclear states. The political challenges and opportunities, both domestic and international, for achieving deep reductions in the size and readiness of nuclear forces are analyzed by the authors and by distinguished experts from other countries. The coauthors are Bruce Blair, Jonathan Dean, James Goodby, Steve Fetter, Hal Feiveson, George Lewis, Janne Nolan, Theodore Postol, and Frank von Hippel. An appendix with international perspectives by Li Bin (China), Alexei Arbatov (Russia), Therese Delpech (France), Pervez Hoodbhoy (Pakistan), Shai Feldman (Israel), Harald Mueller (Germany), and Zia Mian and M.V. Ramana (South Asia).

 

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Contents

Nuclear Arms Control at a Crossroads
xiii
A Strategy of Staged Reductions and Dealerting of Nuclear Forces
11
Nuclear Strategy
23
Limiting the Role of Nuclear Weapons
25
Nuclear Strategy and Targeting Doctrine
41
The Deep Cuts and Dealerting Program
55
Ballistic Missile Defenses and Deep Reductions
57
Dealerting Strategic Nuclear Forces
95
Why Not Abolition?
279
The Road to Abolition How Far Can We Go?
281
International Perspectives
297
Deep Cuts and Dealerting A Russian Perspective
299
Chinas Nuclear Disarmament Policy
319
New Stages of Nuclear Disarmament A European View
327
A View from Germany
335
A Nuclear Gordian Knot South Asia and the Limits of Deep Cuts
347

Nuclear Forces under Staged Reductions
123
Tactical and Reserve Nuclear Warheads
153
Transparency and Irreversibility in Nuclear Warhead Dismantlement
165
Completing the Deep Cuts Regime
187
Verifying Deep Reductions in Nuclear Forces
209
The Next Nuclear Posture Review?
237
Pakistan and the Deep Cuts Regime
363
Back to Sanity An Israeli View of the Effects of Deep Reductions
375
Contributors
381
Index
383
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Page 8 - NATO reiterate that they have no intention, no plan and no reason to deploy nuclear weapons on the territory of new members, nor any need to change any aspect of NATO's nuclear posture or nuclear policy — and do not foresee any future need to do so. This subsumes the fact that NATO has decided that it has no intention, no plan, and no reason...
Page i - Research, founded in 1916. the Institute of Economics, founded in 1922, and the Robert Brookings Graduate School of Economics and Government, founded in 1924. The Board of Trustees is responsible for the general administration of the Institution, while the immediate direction of the policies, program, and staff is vested in the President. assisted by an...

About the author (2010)

Harold A. Feiveson is a senior research scientist at the Center for Energy and Environmental Studies at Princeton University.

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