Managing Ethnic Conflict in Africa: Pressures and Incentives for Cooperation

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Brookings Institution Press, 1997 - 343 pages

Ethnic conflict in Africa is reaching critical levels. Governments are being toppled. National economies are collapsing. And the potential for civil unrest--even violent encounters--throughout the continent threatens to engulf not only Africa, but much of the world.

Africa's salvation depends on the development and implementation of effective institutions of ethnic conflict management. In this book, Donald Rothchild analyzes the successes and failures of attempts at conflict resolution in different African countries and offers comprehensive ideas for successful mediation.

To provide a clear picture of the current situation, Rothchild traces Africa's ethnic unrest back to its beginnings during the period of colonial rule, through the post-independence era, when governments built the institutions of government control and consolidated power; and into its more recent period when it is possible to discern greater democratic governance.

Managing Ethnic Conflict in Africa demonstrates how negotiation and mediation can promote conflict resolution and a political environment that fosters economic development. It offers a compelling case for the use of both political incentives (power sharing, elections, and fiscal programs) and a variety of actions (including principles of inclusiveness, coercion, and punishment) to support reconciliation. This "carrot and stick" approach can be employed by a state to promote increased political bargaining while maintaining stability, and by outside intermediaries to cope with conflict brought on by the breakdown of domestic regimes.

 

Selected pages

Contents

African State Management of Ethnic Conflict
1
The Ethnic Group
3
Patterns of African Conflict Management
5
The Colonial Inheritance
6
The Postindependence Era
9
The Structuring of Incentives
19
Conclusion
20
Regularized Patterns of Relations
23
White Rebellion against Colonial Rule
151
Direct AngloRhodesian Talks
152
Mediation Efforts before Lancaster House
154
The Victoria Falls Conference
155
The Kissinger Mediation Initiative
157
The Geneva Conference
161
The AngloAmerican Initiative
164
The Internal Settlement
168

Structuring Incentives for Internal Conflict Management
25
Perceptions
36
State Responses to Ethnic Demands and Counterdemands
40
The Interconnected Conflict Process
45
Internal Incentive Structures
50
The Effect of Regimes on Conflict
59
Forming Political Coalitions
61
Allocating Resources
75
Conclusion
82
ThirdParty Mediation of Violent Conflict
87
The Use of Coercive and Noncoercive Incentives
89
The Relationship of Perceptions to Demands
93
Timing
95
Incentives Available to Mediators
97
Conclusion
108
Constructing a Conflict Management System in Angola 198997
111
The Internal Incentives for Conflict
113
The Postindependence Conflicts
117
The Military Climax and Stalemate
119
The Interstate Mediation Process
120
Intrastate Mediation and the Construction of an Internal Conflict Management System
124
Conclusion
141
Reconstructing a Conflict Management System in RhodesiaZimbabwe
147
The Bargaining Parties
148
The Lancaster House Mediation Process
170
Credible Pressures and Incentives
186
Facilitating Regime Transformation in South Africa
191
A Unique Environment
193
Failed Mediation Efforts in the 1980s
195
The UN Initiative of the 1990s
200
Preelection Mediation Initiatives
205
Incentives for Change
209
Coalition Efforts to Repair Internal Conflict Management in Sudan 197172
213
The ConflictMaking Environment
214
The Favorable Preconditions for Negotiations
217
The Process of Negotiation
225
The Failure of Implementation
233
Conclusion
239
Mediators Uses of Pressures and Incentives
243
Mediation
246
The External Mediators Capacity to Manipulate
249
The Structure of Incentives
254
Coercive and Noncoercive Incentives
256
Incentives during the Implementation Stage
273
Shifting Forms of Mediator Leverage
277
Notes
281
Index
331
Copyright

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About the author (1997)

Donald Rothchildis professor of political science at the University of California, Davis. He is the coauthor of Sovereignty as Responsibility: Conflict Management in Africa(Brookings, 1996), author of Racial Bargaining in Independent Kenya(Oxford University Press, 1973), and coeditor of The International Spread of Ethnic Conflict: Fear, Diffusion, and Escalation(Princeton).

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